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Binary Options were introduced in 2008. What characterize a binary option is that it has a fixed payoff if the option is-in-the money when expires, or nothing if it is out-of-the-money when it expires. Binary options are also referred to as digital options or as ‘all-or-nothing options’ or Fixed Return Options (FROs) in the US (» American Stock Exchange).
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Trading the Bitcoin Calendar Spread
The calendar spread is a useful gauge of how bullish or bearish traders are in a forward starting-time period. In early February, Bitcoin lost close to 70% of its value measured against its December 2017 all-time high. The spread reached a low of 0.42% annualized during the same period.
The source for this analysis is BitMEX: ► BitMEX Crypto Exchange
Chart: March (XBTH18) and June (XBTM18) Bitcoin/USD contract spread
Source: BitMEX
The above chart shows the Bitcoin price and the annualized premium of the March (XBTH18) and June (XBTM18) Bitcoin/USD contract spread.
The calendar spread is calculated by the following function:
Annualised Premium = [(XBTM18 Price - XBTH18 Price) / Bitcoin Spot] / 0.2493
0.2493 represents the annualized time value between the March and June expiry dates.